The market moved
-2.8ppin 24h · now 30¢
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
Macro · resolves Feb 12 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.