The market moved

+15.5ppin 24h · now 26¢

Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?

Macro · resolves Jul 22 · vol $911.93

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 26¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the monthly office for national statistics (ons) report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.