The market moved
+7.5ppin 24h · now 31¢
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?
Macro · resolves Jul 22 · vol $568.06
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 31¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the monthly office for national statistics (ons) report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.