Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the monthly office for national statistics (ons) report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.