The market moved
+14.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Macro · resolves Feb 12 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.4pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.