The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on european commission — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: European Commission — https://europa.eu/newsroom/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.