The market moved
+16.5ppin 24h · now 62¢
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?
Politics · resolves Sep 2 · vol $4.2K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 62¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.