The market moved

-60.6ppin 24h · now

Will United Airlines say "World Cup" during earnings call?

Sports · resolves Jul 16 · vol $233.47

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 60.6pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of united airlines currently scheduled to take place on july 16, 2026 at 10:30 am est — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of United Airlines currently scheduled to take place on July 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM EST — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.