The market moved
+84.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?
Macro · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 84.5pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.