The market moved
-14.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?
Macro · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.9pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.