The market moved

-8.5ppin 24h · now

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?

Macro · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.