The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 9¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Orrery