The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 22¢
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 22¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.