The market moved

-98.6ppin 24h · now

Will U.S. tourism decline in April?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 98.6pp shift. Resolution depends on trade.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: trade.gov — https://www.trade.gov/us-international-air-travel-statistics-i-92-data).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.