The market moved

+11.0ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?

Geopolitics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $661.15

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the finalized usd exchange rate on bonbast for july 31, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026 — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.