The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now

Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the finalized usd exchange rate on bonbast for june 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for June 30, 2026 — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.