Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the finalized usd exchange rate on bonbast for july 31, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026 — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.