The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now 22¢

Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $530.74

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 22¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the finalized usd exchange rate on bonbast for june 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for June 30, 2026 — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.