The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $87.34
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the daily finalized free-market usd exchange rate as displayed on bonbast (https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.