The market moved

-7.0ppin 24h · now 59¢

Will Vance say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during Air Force Academy Address?

Politics · resolves May 28 · vol $716.76

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 59¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2056836241228746829?s=20).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.