The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 47¢

Will Vance say "Resilience" or "Resiliency" during Milwaukee remarks?

Sports · resolves Jul 8 · vol $1.4K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 47¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2074203106473120120).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
  • Market resolves in 0.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.