The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021?

Politics · resolves Jul 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on senate.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: senate.gov — https://www.senate.gov/legislative/TieVotes.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.