The market moved
+32.5ppin 24h · now 77¢
Will Vinicius Jr. score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Aug 3 · vol $317.46
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 77¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 32.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.