The market moved

-3.1ppin 24h · now

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?

Politics · resolves May 5 · vol $51.72

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-3.1pp · Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%? | Orrery