The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?

Politics · resolves May 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.