The market moved
+8.5ppin 24h · now 26¢
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?
Politics · resolves May 1 · vol $145.89
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 26¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.stat.gov.rs/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.