Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.4pp shift. Resolution depends on the number of votes cast in the 2025 canadian federal election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the number of votes cast in the 2025 Canadian federal election — https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?dir=rep%2Foff&document=index&lang=e&section=res&utm#44GE).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.