The market moved

+0.3ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?

Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on the total number of votes out of the total number of registered voters in new york city for the 2025 mayoral election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the total number of votes out of the total number of registered voters in New York City for the 2025 mayoral election — https://vote.nyc/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.