The market moved

-21.5ppin 24h · now 44¢

Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $45.96

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 44¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible news — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible news.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.