The market moved
+0.3ppin 24h · now 100¢
Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?
Other · resolves Oct 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-democratic-vp-nominee-walz-accepts-cbs-news-offer-debate-vance-oct-1-2024-08-14/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.