The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 77¢

Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?

Sports · resolves Jun 18 · vol $75.70

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 77¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from warsh — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Warsh.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.