Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from warsh — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Warsh.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 33.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.