The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?
Science · resolves Jul 29 · vol $483.79
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from warsh — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Warsh — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.