The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 78¢

Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?

Sports · resolves Jul 29 · vol $1.63

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 78¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from warsh — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Warsh — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.