The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?
Other · resolves Aug 21 · vol $243.34
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.