The market moved
-22.3ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sports · resolves Mar 14 · vol $42.32
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.oscars.org/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.