The market moved

-22.3ppin 24h · now

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?

Sports · resolves Mar 14 · vol $42.32

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.oscars.org/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.