The market moved

-1.3ppin 24h · now

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 17 2026?

Macro · resolves Aug 21 · vol $151.74

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.3pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 39.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.