The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of August 17 2026?
Other · resolves Aug 21 · vol $10.51
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 43.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.