The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+4.0pp · Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? | Orrery