Will Xander Schauffele lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the player that finishes round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 us open at shinnecock hills golf club with the lo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lo — https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.