The market moved

-9.5ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

Other · resolves Jul 1 · vol $617.78

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.