The market moved

-1.6ppin 24h · now

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?

Other · resolves Jun 1 · vol $816.07

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-1.6pp · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May? | Orrery