The market moved
+44.0ppin 24h · now 86¢
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Geopolitics · resolves Sep 20 · vol $63.51
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 86¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 44.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.