The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $51.66
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 20¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.