The market moved
+23.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 23.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.