Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 32.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the official certified results as published by the new york city board of elections — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.