The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the ranked-choice voting (rcv) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 democratic primary for mayor of — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.