The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 38¢
Wimbledon 2026: Top-10 Seed to Lose in First Round? (Men’s Singles)
Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $10.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 38¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.