The market moved
+44.1ppin 24h · now 100¢
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 44.1pp shift. Resolution depends on court record — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: court record — https://www.axios.com/2025/04/25/fbi-arrests-judge-wisconsin-hannah-dugan-kash-patel).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.