The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 67¢

Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo

Sports · resolves Jul 5 · vol $16.1K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 67¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the final score including any overtime periods — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the final score including any overtime periods.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.